Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.772759 1.923507 2.083588 2.266651 2.470711 2.691758 2.950088
2025-12-14 1.527904 1.731005 1.958966 2.235323 2.563337 2.942778 3.418634
2025-12-21 1.340560 1.565027 1.826964 2.158092 2.569641 3.069803 3.732159
2025-12-28 1.241183 1.485349 1.779647 2.165104 2.663554 3.296138 4.175791
2026-01-04 1.170097 1.430229 1.752626 2.188144 2.771468 3.541218 4.660746
2026-01-11 1.113023 1.385994 1.732733 2.214275 2.880127 3.790924 5.172543
2026-01-18 1.062690 1.345379 1.712456 2.235162 2.979328 4.031781 5.693035
2026-01-25 1.012658 1.300878 1.682513 2.238265 3.050664 4.235317 6.175841
2026-02-01 0.951328 1.236863 1.621096 2.191191 3.043311 4.318712 6.475882
2026-02-08 0.901603 1.185548 1.573517 2.159497 3.054288 4.427884 6.825483
2026-02-15 0.862463 1.146552 1.540506 2.145972 3.090216 4.576717 7.255168
2026-02-22 0.844248 1.135822 1.546774 2.190626 3.218603 4.883526 7.994377
2026-03-01 0.809349 1.099962 1.515262 2.176754 3.254593 5.044173 8.497390
2026-03-08 0.774483 1.062436 1.479218 2.153324 3.272830 5.175744 8.962657
2026-03-15 0.729486 1.007869 1.414761 2.080699 3.203110 5.146352 9.109107
2026-03-22 0.707955 0.987189 1.400540 2.087567 3.268238 5.362741 9.776086
2026-03-29 0.691619 0.973446 1.396043 2.109590 3.360584 5.636703 10.600946
2026-04-05 0.677019 0.961569 1.393638 2.134536 3.459392 5.931564 11.514931
2026-04-12 0.662191 0.948588 1.388659 2.154468 3.550090 6.218879 12.456770
2026-04-19 0.644606 0.930487 1.374476 2.157430 3.609102 6.448130 13.299037
2026-04-26 0.618110 0.897280 1.334269 2.112505 3.574096 6.481192 13.668562
2026-05-03 0.596159 0.870469 1.303365 2.082251 3.564857 6.566643 14.182043
2026-05-10 0.578859 0.850462 1.282826 2.069340 3.588294 6.723549 14.905757